Kentucky Derby -- Who do you like?
Thursday, May 5, 2022 2:05 AM
It's the first Saturday in May and it's time for the Kentucky Derby. Who do you like? For extra credit say why. It looks like an evenly matched field if you look at the odds board, but history says that's usually not because everybody is really good, but because everybody is really average. I faced this scenario in the breeder cup classic many years back and went longshot hunting. Thank you, Volponi, for your 6-length victory at 42-1. You were my biggest bet of the day, both buying and cashing. So, with that in mind and disliking boring 3-1 favorites we will pick Charge it!!! Son of Tapit (outrageous success as a stallion), but very, very green. He went sideways in the stretch in the Florida derby and never changed leads. He still finished second and is eligible to improve in a longer race. He breaks well (great in a 20-horse field) and has stamina on both sides of his pedigree. 20-1 morning odds but try to bet before the race as I expect he goes off around 12-1. My bets are in on him in the futures book at 30-1, 18-1, and we added at 16-1 last Friday. As always Ymmv.
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